Transcript
0:03
air traffic trackers have recorded an
0:05
increase in Russian planes journeying to
0:07
Tran more frequently since tensions
0:09
between the Islamic Republic and Israel
0:11
escalated the tracker suggests that
0:13
Russia may be shipping Advanced missiles
0:16
or military parts to its allies for use
0:18
in the anticipated Showdown reportedly
0:21
Iran has deployed the mamans BN Russia's
0:24
most powerful jamming communication
0:26
system at strategically important
0:28
locations even the head of Russia's
0:30
Security Council shiu is currently in
0:32
tran to see things for
0:35
himself this move comes amid heightened
0:38
tensions between Iran and Israel
0:40
following Israel's killing of
0:42
Palestinian leader Ismael Han by
0:45
projectiles fired at his hotel in the
0:47
center of tan the deployment underscores
0:49
the growing military cooperation between
0:51
tan and Moscow and raises critical
0:54
questions about the implications for
0:56
regional security and international
0:58
relations the mman BN is a
1:01
state-of-the-art electronic warfare
1:03
system designed to disrupt and jam high
1:06
frequency HF Communications over vast
1:09
distances with a reported operational
1:12
range of up to 5,000 km the mman BN can
1:15
interfere with military and civilian
1:17
Communications across entire regions
1:19
making it one of the most formidable
1:21
Tools in modern electronic warfare the
1:23
timing of its deployment suggests a
1:25
strategic response to the recent Israeli
1:27
attack by deploying the m BN Iran
1:31
significantly enhances its ability to
1:33
project power and influence across the
1:35
Middle East this capability could be
1:38
particularly relevant in key conflict
1:40
zones such as Syria Iraq and the Persian
1:43
Gulf where communication and
1:45
coordination are crucial for military
1:47
operations the jamming capabilities of
1:50
the mamans BN could pose a substantial
1:52
threat to the communications
1:53
infrastructure of Iran's adversaries
1:55
including the United States Israel and
1:58
Saudi Arabia dis in the communications
2:01
of these nations military forces could
2:03
hinder their operational effectiveness
2:06
giving Iran a strategic Edge especially
2:08
in the wake of the recent assassination
2:11
the deployment of such an advanced
2:13
system serves as a deterrent against
2:15
potential attacks adversaries may think
2:17
twice before engaging in direct military
2:19
action against Iran knowing that their
2:22
Communications could be severely
2:24
compromised while the primary purpose of
2:26
the murans BN is military its deployment
2:29
could inad ly affect civilian
2:31
Communications including Maritime and
2:33
Aviation operations in the region this
2:35
raises concerns about potential
2:37
disruptions to International Commerce
2:39
and travel Iran has claimed it is ready
2:42
to cross international Norms on
2:44
retaliation stating this time it
2:46
wouldn't be business as usual it is also
2:49
mentioned that Hezbollah would Target
2:51
military and civilian Targets in the
2:53
heart of Israel to avenge the alleged
2:55
death of a top military commander in a
2:57
bayro bombing raid Iran has reportedly
3:00
said it does not care if its retaliation
3:03
for the killing of Han results in an
3:05
allout war against Israel statements
3:08
like this suggest that attempts by
3:10
allies and friends to dissuade Iran have
3:12
fallen on deaf ears Iran appears poised
3:16
to end the constant embarrassment it has
3:18
faced from Israel but how is Russia
3:20
taking sides what is its motivation for
3:22
the latest move last week the Russian GX
3:25
Airlines which specializes in arms
3:28
transport landed in tan twice allegedly
3:32
with parts of missiles aircraft
3:33
maintenance gadgets and other Advanced
3:36
military tools to bolster Iran's ability
3:39
to deal with the threat posed by
3:41
Israel's belligerence in the Middle
3:43
East the recent Landing of the GX
3:46
Airlines flight has sparked considerable
3:48
Intrigue and speculation known for its
3:50
specialization in arms transport GX
3:52
Airlines activities often carry
3:54
significant geopolitical weight this
3:56
event is no exception potentially
3:58
signaling shifts in Regional Dynamics
4:01
and raising questions about the nature
4:02
of the cargo and its intended use Iran
4:05
has been under International scrutiny
4:07
for its missile development programs and
4:10
its support for Allied groups in the
4:11
region including Hezbollah in Lebanon
4:14
and various militias in Syria and Iraq
4:17
Israel in particular views Iran's
4:19
military enhancements with grave concern
4:22
considering teran's adversarial stance
4:24
towards the Israeli State any
4:27
significant arms transferred to Iran by
4:29
Russia could prompt Israel to reconsider
4:31
its security and Military strategies
4:34
potentially leading to preemptive
4:36
measures to counter perceived threats
4:38
while the exact contents of the GX
4:40
Airlines cargo remain speculative the
4:43
nature of the airlines specialization
4:45
suggests that Russia is delivering
4:46
strategic military
4:48
assets this possibility fuels concerns
4:51
over an escalation in military posturing
4:53
and the potential for conflicts
4:55
diplomatic channels are likely to be
4:57
active as Nations seek to understand the
4:59
full scope and implications of this
5:01
delivery from Russia engaging Iran in
5:04
dialogue about its military intentions
5:06
and seeking transparency could be
5:08
critical steps towards maintaining
5:10
Regional stability however under the
5:13
leadership of Benjamin Netanyahu Israel
5:16
appears less interested in pursuing
5:17
diplomatic resolutions with Iran instead
5:20
the country seems to be escalating
5:22
tensions rapidly potentially aiming to
5:24
undermine Iran's military and
5:27
sociopolitical progress Russia's
5:29
decision to enter this fry might be
5:31
influenced by intelligence suggesting
5:33
that Israel is assisting Ukraine with
5:36
missile early warning systems installed
5:38
on newly supplied F-16 fighter planes
5:41
this Israeli involvement in the
5:43
Ukrainian crisis has sparked a silent
5:45
diplomatic battle between Russia and
5:47
Israel with Russia vowing to defend Iran
5:50
should it be attacked by the United
5:52
States this stance indicates that Russia
5:55
is now prepared to supply Iran with
5:57
Advanced military hardware to Det
5:59
Israeli and American intervention
6:02
especially following the much publicized
6:04
retaliation for the killing of
6:06
Palestinian Ismael Haner in tan
6:09
President Vladimir Putin has thus far
6:11
allowed Israel to conduct air strikes
6:13
against its Syrian Ally but this
6:16
approach seems poised to change as he
6:18
appears to side more firmly with Iranian
6:21
and Syrian allies recently Putin met
6:24
with the president of Syria and while
6:26
the content of their discussion was not
6:28
disclosed likely pertain to addressing
6:31
Israeli actions against Syrian forces if
6:34
these developments are accurate the
6:36
Middle East could be on the brink of a
6:38
significant shift Israel might soon face
6:40
accountability for its belligerence and
6:42
freedom of strikes on other Sovereign
6:44
nations in the coming months it may
6:47
become increasingly difficult for Israel
6:48
to conduct successful military raids on
6:50
Syrian Lebanese or Iraqi Targets in
6:53
Syria particularly Russia might equip
6:56
the government with Advanced early
6:57
Warning Systems drone detection
6:59
mechanisms and air defense systems
7:01
making it challenging for Israeli
7:03
aircraft to operate without being
7:05
engaged from all
7:07
directions this shift could Herald a new
7:10
era in the Middle East characterized by
7:12
Russia's increased military support for
7:14
its Iranian
7:16
allies former senior lecturer and
7:18
researcher at faculty of Sociology of
7:21
the Moscow State University Marx leoda
7:23
has this to say about this development
7:26
obviously I mean the US has cultivated
7:28
the muja Cal and you know both Israel
7:32
and the US has supported separatist
7:34
groups within Iran and and far-flung
7:37
regions like you know the beluchi region
7:39
and the North and and the azerbaijani
7:42
but obviously they do not have the on
7:46
the ground Insurgent forces that could
7:49
be used to overthrow the government in
7:52
Iran even during a a you know uh a long
7:57
range strike conflict that I don't
7:59
believe they do I mean certainly they'll
8:01
probably try it they'll try to do what
8:03
they can to disrupt Iran but I certainly
8:07
don't think it's anything that would be
8:10
State
8:11
existential uh would could not result as
8:15
I understand it in any type of regime
8:17
change in Iran these are are mostly
8:20
ethnic minorities and and uh extremists
8:24
and uh they they would not uh certainly
8:27
have the support of the Iranian popul
8:31
yeah I talked with col Wilkerson he said
8:34
that there are studies in the United
8:36
States about how to attack Iran and all
8:39
of those studies show it's not possible
8:42
to attack Iran on the ground yeah I mean
8:45
that's part of it I mean part of it I
8:47
mean even they know it's there's
8:49
unquestioned that it would be long range
8:51
strikes what has made the US
8:53
particularly hesitate in this situation
8:57
is one Iran is a lot stronger ER than it
8:59
ever has been previously right Iran did
9:02
not previously have the long range
9:05
strike capability to hit Israel in any
9:09
substantial way right they didn't have
9:11
the missiles supposedly Iran even has
9:14
Hypersonic missiles they didn't have the
9:16
long rrange drones they didn't have any
9:17
of that this is all new and and Iran had
9:20
a relatively weak Air Force so this is
9:22
an entirely new dynamic in the situation
9:26
um and what can be used of course to hit
9:29
Israel can also be used to hit us and
9:32
the United Kingdom military bases
9:35
throughout the region right and uh Iran
9:38
has lots of shall we say irregular
9:41
allies with with the houthis and
9:43
Hezbollah and K Hezbollah but I would
9:46
say that the realization of Iran's new
9:51
long range strike
9:53
capability and
9:56
the growing uneased in the Pentagon as
10:01
they look at their own ever dwindling
10:04
stock of air defense Interceptor
10:07
missiles right but for for Patriot
10:10
intercept missiles which is the the
10:12
Bedrock of US Air Defense right they are
10:16
producing somewhere between
10:18
550 and 650 air defense Interceptor
10:22
missiles a year that's it and that
10:25
that's after ramping up
10:28
production now
10:30
most of those are currently going to uh
10:33
the Kev regime in Ukraine almost all of
10:36
them right and they're going through
10:37
them like hot cakes now usually when you
10:40
fire uh a patriot Interceptor like this
10:43
for any given uh attempted interception
10:46
you you have you should fire by by
10:48
procedure two missiles two Interceptor
10:51
missiles right to increase your chance
10:53
of a success successful interception
10:56
which by no mean guarantees it but
10:58
that's what they do so two missiles per
11:01
interception Russia is firing according
11:04
to Western statistics
11:07
4,000 missiles at the Kev regime in
11:10
Ukraine a year you do the math I mean
11:13
obviously uh they're not that and this
11:15
is some nothing new actually uh before
11:18
this conflict broke out there were
11:21
reports of a critical shortage of
11:24
patriot Interceptor missiles end of the
11:28
poor perform
11:30
of the Patriots from Saudi Arabia cuz
11:33
Saudi Arabia used them a lot during
11:36
their then conflict uh with the houthis
11:39
to stop attack on Saudi oil fields Saudi
11:42
airports they had a very low success
11:45
rate with the the Patriot systems
11:47
firsthand there were reports in the
11:49
western media at the time of how
11:52
incapable the Patriot was uh performing
11:55
for the job and also then how critically
11:58
short
11:59
already the US was of Patriot missiles
12:03
to supply Saudi Arabia with they were
12:05
actually arranging for other Arab
12:08
countries that had Patriot systems to
12:11
transfer their Patriot interceptors to
12:14
Saudi Arabia and giving those countries
12:17
an IOU on them uh because they had a
12:20
critical shortage even before the
12:24
Russian intervention in the Ukrainian
12:26
civil conflict so very bad uh uh
12:29
military industrial uh planning and and
12:32
situation there for the United States
12:35
that is what they are most afraid of
12:37
they can't protect their bases in the
12:39
Middle East they can't protect Israel
12:43
from Israeli uh Iranian long range
12:46
strikes because Iran by all accounts has
12:49
a very large range arsenal of missiles
12:53
and drones capable of hitting both
12:57
Israel and Western military bases in the
12:59
Middle East that is what they are most
13:02
afraid of is is Iran's you know it's
13:05
something that Iran hasn't had before
13:07
this is something new it is a new
13:09
Dynamic uh and the US is caught woefully
13:13
unprepared for it and at this bad time
13:16
when you know they've diverted all
13:19
Patriot uh system and Interceptor
13:22
production to Ukraine they just
13:24
announced that uh in the last month that
13:27
everything they're making now has to all
13:29
other customers are deprioritized to
13:32
send as much as they can to Ukraine and
13:35
the Russian Ministry of Defense put out
13:37
another series of videos of another
13:39
three Patriot launchers that they wiped
13:41
out this week right um so Russia's
13:44
destroying them faster than than the
13:46
West can provide Patriots uh to Ukraine
13:49
and a another you know long range strike
13:54
threat you know with you know the
13:57
political necessity of Defending Israel
14:00
us just isn't capable of it they're not
14:02
they're they're not a military
14:05
superpower you know in relative terms to
14:10
the rest of the world the way they were
14:12
in the 1990s and the early 2000s the
14:15
world has changed Iran is stronger right
14:20
technology has resulted in the
14:22
proliferations of drones which if you'll
14:25
remember the US was the first one to
14:26
start using drones in a major military
14:29
way uh and um you know the the same
14:32
thing with cruise missiles and other
14:34
long range strikes this is proliferated
14:36
now the houthis are firing cruise
14:38
missiles right they're manufacturing you
14:41
know with Iranian assistance almost
14:43
certainly but uh this is uh it has
14:46
resulted in a changing of the military
14:49
balance uh and it is not a balance in
14:51
the US favor and all of that is
14:54
exacerbated by the us being completely
14:57
overextended and uh militarily stockpile
15:01
exhausted from the the proxy war in
15:04
Ukraine they can't even provide for that
15:07
conflict much less another conflict in
15:09
the Middle East so I would say that it
15:11
is the threat of uh Iranian long range
15:15
strikes and the inability of of the US
15:19
to provide sufficient air defense for
15:22
that that has them most scared at this
15:24
point right and that of course goes to
15:27
what would be US Naval forces you know
15:30
within the theater within uh the Persian
15:32
Gulf uh as well they they would be a
15:35
threat there are lots of us war games
15:37
that have been run that that resulted in
15:41
the
15:43
um uh the uh military people assigned to
15:46
play the role of Iran in the war games
15:49
successfully using unorthodox
15:51
anti-symmetric measures like essentially
15:54
kamakazi boats and the like to wipe out
15:56
US aircraft carriers
15:59
the open-minded thinker show news team
16:01
has documented some of the military
16:03
equipment Russia is capable of offering
16:05
Iran to counter Israeli aggression among
16:08
the most significant systems is the S400
16:10
Triumph air defense system this highly
16:13
Advanced surfac to- a missile system
16:15
would be a GameChanger for Iran enabling
16:17
it to engage and neutralize a variety of
16:20
aerial threats including aircraft uavs
16:23
and ballistic missiles from long
16:25
distances with a range of up to 400 km
16:28
the S400 would create a formidable air
16:31
defense Shield making it extremely
16:34
difficult for Israeli aircraft to
16:35
operate in Iranian airspace without
16:38
being detected and
16:40
targeted another critical addition to
16:42
Iran's defense capabilities would be the
16:45
pania S1 air defense system combining
16:48
medium-range surfac to- a missiles with
16:50
anti-aircraft artillery the panser S1
16:54
provides robust Point defense against
16:55
aerial threats including Precision
16:58
guided m itions this system's mobility
17:00
and Effectiveness in intercepting
17:02
low-flying targets would significantly
17:04
enhance Iran's ability to protect
17:06
strategic sites and Military assets from
17:08
Israeli air strikes the inclusion of the
17:11
isander M tactical missile system would
17:14
provide Iran with a powerful offensive
17:16
capability this mobile short-range
17:19
ballistic missile system can strike high
17:21
value targets with high Precision at
17:23
ranges of up to 500 kils equipped with
17:26
both conventional and nuclear warheads
17:29
the escanda M would allow Iran to Target
17:31
Israeli military installations and
17:33
critical infrastructure thereby
17:35
deterring aggression and complicating
17:37
Israeli military planning in the realm
17:40
of aerial combat the S35 flanker e
17:43
multiroll fighter would be a valuable
17:45
asset for
17:46
Iran this advanced fighter jet is
17:49
equipped with sophisticated avionics and
17:51
Weapons Systems capable of engaging a
17:53
wide range of aerial ground and Maritime
17:56
targets its Superior maneuverability and
17:59
combat capabilities would enhance Iran's
18:01
Air Force making it more challenging for
18:03
Israeli aircraft to achieve air
18:06
superiority the crasa 4 electronic
18:08
warfare system would bolster Iran's
18:10
ability to disrupt Israeli radar and
18:13
communication systems this Advanced
18:15
electronic warfare system can jam and
18:17
deceive enemy radar satellites and
18:20
communication networks providing a
18:22
significant advantage in electronic
18:24
warfare by disrupting Israeli command
18:27
and control capabilities the Kuka 4
18:29
would help protect Iranian assets and
18:32
complicate Israeli military operations
18:34
on the ground the T90 main battle tank
18:36
would offer enhanced protection and
18:39
Firepower with Advanced armor and a
18:41
powerful 125 mm Smooth Bore gun the T90
18:45
would improve the effectiveness of
18:47
Iran's Ground Forces its modern Fire
18:50
Control Systems and Superior Battlefield
18:52
performance would be a significant
18:54
deterrent to any Israeli ground
18:57
incursions the Caleb cruise missiles
18:59
provide a versatile and long-range
19:01
strike capability these Precision guided
19:03
Munitions can be launched from
19:05
submarines surface ships and aircraft
19:08
targeting a wide array of land and sea
19:10
objectives this capability would enable
19:13
Iran to strike Israeli military and
19:15
strategic targets from a safe distance
19:18
thereby enhancing its offensive reach in
19:21
terms of coastal defense the basan P
19:23
coastal defense system equipped with
19:25
p800 Onix supersonic anti-ship missile
19:28
missiles would secure Iran's coastal
19:31
areas with a range of 300 km these
19:34
missiles would deter and neutralize any
19:37
Israeli Naval threats protecting Iran's
19:40
Maritime interests the bm30 smch
19:43
multiple launch rocket system mlrs would
19:46
offer devastating Firepower against
19:48
enemy troop concentrations and
19:50
fortifications this heavy rocket system
19:53
can deliver a powerful Barrage at
19:54
Targets up to 90 km away inflicting
19:57
significant damage and disrupting
19:59
Israeli ground operations for Naval
20:02
engagements the yakun anti-ship missiles
20:05
would provide a potent offensive
20:07
capability against Israeli warships with
20:10
a 300 km range and the ability to evade
20:13
defenses these missiles would enhance
20:16
Iran's Naval defense and strike capacity
20:19
the k52 alligator attack helicopter
20:22
would support Iran's Ground Forces with
20:24
powerful Armament including anti-tank
20:27
missiles and a 30 mm Cannon its
20:30
reconnaissance and attack capabilities
20:32
would enhance Iran's ability to engage
20:34
Israeli armor and fortifications
20:36
effectively finally the VAV vianka class
20:40
improved kilo class submarines would
20:43
offer stealthy underwater
20:45
capabilities equipped with Torpedoes
20:47
mines and caliber cruise missiles these
20:50
submarines would provide Iran with a
20:52
significant underwater strike capability
20:54
enhancing its Naval Warfare potential
20:57
and deterring Israeli Naval operations
